Result
Final: Minnesota 27, Washington 24
Closest: Our model (Washington by 5.9, missed by 8.9). 0 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was wrong.
Our call: Washington by 9.5Strong
All three models favor Washington. The line, shown for comparison only, has Washington by 9.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Washington by 9.4, Elo has Washington by 13.2, and Our model has Washington by 5.9. They are within 7.3 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Minnesota +5.9 vs Washington +12.8 | Washington by 9.4 ✗ | 12.4 |
| Elo Minnesota 1484 vs Washington 1752 | Washington by 13.2 ✗ | 16.2 |
| Our model · experimental Closest Minnesota +3.4 vs Washington +6.8 | Washington by 5.9 ✗ | 8.9 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Washington by 9.5 | 12.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Washington by 9.5 ✗ | 12.5 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Minnesota leads 10–7 · last: Minnesota 19–17, 1977
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 1977 | Minnesota 19–17 | — |
| 1976 | Washington 38–7 | — |
| 1960 | Washington 17–7 | neutral site |
| 1958 | Washington 24–21 | — |
| 1957 | Minnesota 46–7 | — |