Result
Final: Notre Dame 49, Purdue 10
Closest: Elo (Notre Dame by 27.5, missed by 11.5). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Notre Dame by 25.8Strong
All three models favor Notre Dame. The line, shown for comparison only, has Notre Dame by 27.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Notre Dame by 26.3, Elo has Notre Dame by 27.5, and Our model has Notre Dame by 23.5. They are within 4.0 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Notre Dame +26.7 vs Purdue -2.1 | Notre Dame by 26.3 ✓ | 12.7 |
| Elo Closest Notre Dame 2061 vs Purdue 1311 | Notre Dame by 27.5 ✓ | 11.5 |
| Our model · experimental Notre Dame +25.8 vs Purdue -0.2 | Notre Dame by 23.5 ✓ | 15.5 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Notre Dame by 27.5 | 11.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Notre Dame by 25.8 ✓ | 13.2 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Notre Dame leads 61–26–2 · last: Notre Dame 56–30, 2025 · Notre Dame has won 10 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Notre Dame 56–30 | Notre Dame Stadium |
| 2024 | Notre Dame 66–7 | Ross-Ade Stadium |
| 2021 | Notre Dame 27–13 | Notre Dame Stadium |
| 2014 | Notre Dame 30–14 | neutral site |
| 2013 | Notre Dame 31–24 | Ross-Ade Stadium |