Result
Final: Texas 20, Tennessee 17
Closest: Elo (Texas by 4.1, missed by 1.1). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Texas by 1.9Toss-up
All three models favor Texas. The line, shown for comparison only, has Texas by 5.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Texas by 1.4, Elo has Texas by 4.1, and Our model has Texas by 0.1. They are within 4.0 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Texas +24.1 vs Tennessee +20.2 | Texas by 1.4 ✓ | 1.6 |
| Elo Closest Texas 1935 vs Tennessee 1771 | Texas by 4.1 ✓ | 1.1 |
| Our model · experimental Texas +17.1 vs Tennessee +14.5 | Texas by 0.1 ✓ | 2.9 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Texas by 5.5 | 2.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Texas by 1.9 ✓ | 1.1 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 3 meetings
Texas leads 2–1 · last: Texas 36–13, 1968 · Texas has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 1968 | Texas 36–13 | neutral site |
| 1952 | Texas 16–0 | neutral site |
| 1950 | Tennessee 20–14 | neutral site |