Result
Final: Pittsburgh 35, Virginia Tech 33
Closest: Our call (Pittsburgh by 1.9, missed by 0.1). 2 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Pittsburgh by 1.9Toss-up
SP+ favors Virginia Tech; Elo and Our model favor Pittsburgh.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Virginia Tech by 0.1, Elo has Pittsburgh by 5.2, and Our model has Pittsburgh by 0.5. The furthest apart are 5.3 points from each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Pittsburgh +14.7 vs Virginia Tech +12.3 | Virginia Tech by 0.1 ✗ | 2.1 |
| Elo Pittsburgh 1687 vs Virginia Tech 1494 | Pittsburgh by 5.2 ✓ | 3.2 |
| Our model · experimental Pittsburgh +10.9 vs Virginia Tech +7.9 | Pittsburgh by 0.5 ✓ | 1.5 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call Closest average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Pittsburgh by 1.9 ✓ | 0.1 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
Pittsburgh ›Virginia TechEvery game's projections ›