Result
Final: Georgia 20, Alabama 17
Closest: SP+ (Georgia by 4.7, missed by 1.7). 1 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was wrong.
Our call: Alabama by 0.4Toss-up
SP+ favors Georgia; Elo and Our model favor Alabama (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Georgia by 2.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Georgia by 4.7, Elo has Alabama by 0.1, and Our model has Alabama by 5.9. The furthest apart are 10.6 points from each other.
Frozen at kickoff: these are the projections and the call as they stood before the game (last recorded Sat Oct 10, 5:31 PM CT).
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Georgia +30.2 vs Alabama +23.0 · week 5 ratings | Georgia by 4.7 ✓ | 1.7 |
| Elo Georgia 2052 vs Alabama 1991 | Alabama by 0.1 ✗ | 3.1 |
| Our model · experimental Georgia +22.3 vs Alabama +25.7 | Alabama by 5.9 ✗ | 8.9 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Georgia by 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Alabama by 0.4 ✗ | 3.4 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
As of Sat Oct 10, 5:00 PM CT · official conference report and public reporting
- Amaris Williams OLBOut
- Chauncey Bowens RBOut
- Isiah Canion WROut
- Marcus Harrison OLOut
- Thomas Blackshear WROut
- Tyriq Green SOut
As of Sat Oct 10, 5:00 PM CT · official conference report and public reporting
- Cayden Jones LBOut · season
- Desmond Umeozulu LBOut
- Jeremiah Beaman DLOut · season
- Justin Hill LBOut
- Nick Sherman DBOut
- Jorden Edmonds DBQuestionable
- Josh Ford TEQuestionable
As the lists stood at kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Alabama leads 45–26–3 · last: Georgia 28–7, 2025
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia 28–7 | neutral site |
| 2025 | Alabama 24–21 | Sanford Stadium |
| 2024 | Alabama 41–34 | Bryant-Denny Stadium |
| 2023 | Alabama 27–24 | neutral site |
| 2021 | Georgia 33–18 | neutral site |