Result
Final: Indiana 20, Nebraska 17
Closest: Our model (Indiana by 6.5, missed by 3.5). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Indiana by 8.7Strong
All three models favor Indiana (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Indiana by 8.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Indiana by 7.5, Elo has Indiana by 12.0, and Our model has Indiana by 6.5. They are within 5.5 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Indiana +26.9 vs Nebraska +16.9 · week 5 ratings | Indiana by 7.5 ✓ | 4.5 |
| Elo Indiana 2114 vs Nebraska 1751 | Indiana by 12.0 ✓ | 9.0 |
| Our model · experimental Closest Indiana +18.2 vs Nebraska +9.2 | Indiana by 6.5 ✓ | 3.5 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Indiana by 8.5 | 5.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Indiana by 8.7 ✓ | 5.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Indiana leads 11–9–3 · last: Indiana 56–7, 2024
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Indiana 56–7 | Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) |
| 2022 | Nebraska 35–21 | Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) |
| 2019 | Indiana 38–31 | Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) |
| 2016 | Nebraska 27–22 | Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) |
| 1978 | Nebraska 69–17 | — |