The SportsWire

#9Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Prediction · week 6, 2026 · Sat Oct 10, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · FirstBank Stadium

Updated Tue Oct 13, 7:56 PM CT

Result

Final: Ole Miss 52, Vanderbilt 17

Closest: Our model (Ole Miss by 2.9, missed by 32.1). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.

Our call: Ole Miss by 1.5Toss-up

All three models favor Ole Miss (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot).

The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›

SP+ has Ole Miss by 1.1, Elo has Ole Miss by 0.5, and Our model has Ole Miss by 2.9. They are within 2.4 points of each other.

This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.

Every model

ModelSaysMissed by
SP+
Ole Miss +11.1 vs Vanderbilt +7.5 · week 5 ratings
Ole Miss by 1.1 ✓33.9
Elo
Ole Miss 1776 vs Vanderbilt 1702
Ole Miss by 0.5 ✓34.5
Our model · experimental Closest
Ole Miss +12.0 vs Vanderbilt +6.7
Ole Miss by 2.9 ✓32.1
Line (benchmark)
no pregame line
n/a–
Our call
average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up
Ole Miss by 1.5 ✓33.5

Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›

Key injuries

No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.

Last 5 meetings

Ole Miss leads 56–37–2 · last: Ole Miss 33–7, 2023 · Ole Miss has won 5 straight

SeasonResultSite
2023Ole Miss 33–7Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
2022Ole Miss 52–28FirstBank Stadium
2021Ole Miss 31–17Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
2020Ole Miss 54–21FirstBank Stadium
2019Ole Miss 31–6Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Team pages