Result
Final: South Carolina 38, Florida 19
Closest: Elo (Florida by 3.3, missed by 22.3). 0 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was wrong.
Our call: Florida by 8.7Strong
All three models favor Florida (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Florida by 14.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Florida by 13.5, Elo has Florida by 3.3, and Our model has Florida by 9.2. They are within 10.2 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ South Carolina +7.5 vs Florida +18.5 · week 5 ratings | Florida by 13.5 ✗ | 32.5 |
| Elo Closest South Carolina 1649 vs Florida 1669 | Florida by 3.3 ✗ | 22.3 |
| Our model · experimental South Carolina +7.1 vs Florida +13.8 | Florida by 9.2 ✗ | 28.2 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Florida by 14.5 | 33.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Florida by 8.7 ✗ | 27.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Florida leads 31–10–3 · last: Florida 41–39, 2023 · Florida has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Florida 41–39 | Williams-Brice Stadium |
| 2022 | Florida 38–6 | Ben Hill Griffin Stadium |
| 2021 | South Carolina 40–17 | Williams-Brice Stadium |
| 2020 | Florida 38–24 | Ben Hill Griffin Stadium |
| 2019 | Florida 38–27 | Williams-Brice Stadium |
Team pages
South CarolinaFlorida ›Every game's projections ›