Result
Final: Missouri 27, Texas A&M 6
Closest: SP+ (Missouri by 7.3, missed by 13.7). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Missouri by 4.5Lean
All three models favor Missouri (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Missouri by 1.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Missouri by 7.3, Elo has Missouri by 1.5, and Our model has Missouri by 4.8. They are within 5.8 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Texas A&M +8.9 vs Missouri +13.7 · week 5 ratings | Missouri by 7.3 ✓ | 13.7 |
| Elo Texas A&M 1786 vs Missouri 1761 | Missouri by 1.5 ✓ | 19.5 |
| Our model · experimental Texas A&M +12.5 vs Missouri +14.8 | Missouri by 4.8 ✓ | 16.2 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Missouri by 1.5 | 19.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | Missouri by 4.5 ✓ | 16.5 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Texas A&M leads 11–7 · last: Texas A&M 38–17, 2025 · Texas A&M has won 3 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas A&M 38–17 | Memorial Stadium |
| 2024 | Texas A&M 41–10 | Kyle Field |
| 2021 | Texas A&M 35–14 | Memorial Stadium |
| 2014 | Missouri 34–27 | Kyle Field |
| 2013 | Missouri 28–21 | Memorial Stadium |