The prediction
Our call: Notre Dame by 9.1Strong
All three models favor Notre Dame. The line, shown for comparison only, has Notre Dame by 12.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Notre Dame by 4.0, Elo has Notre Dame by 12.4, and Our model has Notre Dame by 11.0. They are within 8.4 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Notre Dame +28.0 vs BYU +21.5 | Notre Dame by 4 |
| Elo Notre Dame 2097 vs BYU 1725 | Notre Dame by 12.4 |
| Our model · experimental Notre Dame +31.7 vs BYU +18.2 | Notre Dame by 11 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Notre Dame by 12.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Notre Dame by 9.1 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
As of Fri Oct 9, 6:22 AM CT · AI-assisted, from public reporting
- Quincy Porter WR · kneeOut · season
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
Notre Dame leads 7–2 · last: Notre Dame 28–20, 2022 · Notre Dame has won 4 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Notre Dame 28–20 | neutral site |
| 2013 | Notre Dame 23–13 | Notre Dame Stadium |
| 2012 | Notre Dame 17–14 | Notre Dame Stadium |
| 2005 | Notre Dame 49–23 | Notre Dame Stadium |
| 2004 | BYU 20–17 | LaVell Edwards Stadium |