The prediction
Our call: Ohio State by 0.2Toss-up
SP+ and Our model favor Ohio State; Elo favors Indiana. The line, shown for comparison only, has Ohio State by 4.0.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Ohio State by 0.3, Elo has Indiana by 4.0, and Our model has Ohio State by 4.3. The furthest apart are 8.3 points from each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Ohio State +29.5 vs Indiana +26.7 | Ohio State by 0.3 |
| Elo Ohio State 2060 vs Indiana 2098 | Indiana by 4.0 |
| Our model · experimental Ohio State +25.9 vs Indiana +19.1 | Ohio State by 4.3 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Ohio State by 4 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Ohio State by 0.2 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
Ohio State leads 81–13–5 · last: Indiana 13–10, 2025
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Indiana 13–10 | neutral site |
| 2024 | Ohio State 38–15 | Ohio Stadium |
| 2023 | Ohio State 23–3 | Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) |
| 2022 | Ohio State 56–14 | Ohio Stadium |
| 2021 | Ohio State 54–7 | Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) |