The prediction
Our call: Houston by 10.7Strong
All three models favor Houston. The line, shown for comparison only, has Houston by 3.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Houston by 4.4, Elo has Houston by 12.1, and Our model has Houston by 15.7. They are within 11.3 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Oklahoma State +13.3 vs Houston +15.2 | Houston by 4.4 |
| Elo Oklahoma State 1373 vs Houston 1612 | Houston by 12.1 |
| Our model · experimental Oklahoma State -1.0 vs Houston +12.1 | Houston by 15.7 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Houston by 3.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Houston by 10.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
Houston leads 11–10–1 · last: Houston 39–17, 2025
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston 39–17 | Boone Pickens Stadium |
| 2023 | Oklahoma State 43–30 | TDECU Stadium |
| 2009 | Houston 45–35 | Boone Pickens Stadium |
| 2008 | Oklahoma State 56–37 | Boone Pickens Stadium |
| 2006 | Houston 34–25 | Robertson Stadium |