The prediction
Our call: Washington by 3.8Lean
SP+ and Elo favor Washington; Our model favors Purdue. The line, shown for comparison only, has Purdue by 3.0.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Washington by 3.0, Elo has Washington by 8.6, and Our model has Purdue by 0.3. The furthest apart are 8.9 points from each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Washington +7.1 vs Purdue +1.6 | Washington by 3 |
| Elo Washington 1702 vs Purdue 1425 | Washington by 8.6 |
| Our model · experimental Washington +4.2 vs Purdue +2.0 | Purdue by 0.3 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Purdue by 3 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | Washington by 3.8 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Purdue
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
Washington leads 8–2–1 · last: Washington 49–13, 2025
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington 49–13 | Husky Stadium |
| 2002 | Purdue 34–24 | neutral site |
| 2000 | Washington 34–24 | neutral site |
| 1990 | Washington 20–14 | — |
| 1989 | Washington 38–9 | — |