Result
Final: Houston 35, Kansas State 16
Closest: Our model (Houston by 3.5, missed by 15.5). 1 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was wrong.
Our call: Kansas State by 2.9Toss-up
SP+ and Elo favor Kansas State; Our model favors Houston (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot).
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Kansas State by 4.4, Elo has Kansas State by 7.7, and Our model has Houston by 3.5. The furthest apart are 11.2 points from each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Houston +12.1 vs Kansas State +14.0 · week 5 ratings | Kansas State by 4.4 ✗ | 23.4 |
| Elo Houston 1550 vs Kansas State 1679 | Kansas State by 7.7 ✗ | 26.7 |
| Our model · experimental Closest Houston +10.6 vs Kansas State +4.6 | Houston by 3.5 ✓ | 15.5 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Kansas State by 2.9 ✗ | 21.9 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 2 meetings
tied 1–1 · last: Houston 24–19, 2024
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Houston 24–19 | TDECU Stadium |
| 2023 | Kansas State 41–0 | Bill Snyder Family Stadium |
Team pages
Houston ›Kansas StateEvery game's projections ›