Result
Final: Ohio State 45, Maryland 16
Closest: Our call (Ohio State by 28.0, missed by 1.0). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Ohio State by 28.0Strong
All three models favor Ohio State (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot).
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Ohio State by 27.4, Elo has Ohio State by 33.2, and Our model has Ohio State by 23.4. They are within 9.8 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Maryland +3.9 vs Ohio State +28.8 · week 5 ratings | Ohio State by 27.4 ✓ | 1.6 |
| Elo Maryland 1297 vs Ohio State 2064 | Ohio State by 33.2 ✓ | 4.2 |
| Our model · experimental Maryland +4.6 vs Ohio State +25.5 | Ohio State by 23.4 ✓ | 5.6 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call Closest average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Ohio State by 28.0 ✓ | 1.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Ohio State leads 9–0 · last: Ohio State 37–17, 2023 · Ohio State has won 9 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ohio State 37–17 | Ohio Stadium |
| 2022 | Ohio State 43–30 | SECU Stadium |
| 2021 | Ohio State 66–17 | Ohio Stadium |
| 2019 | Ohio State 73–14 | Ohio Stadium |
| 2018 | Ohio State 52–51 | SECU Stadium |