Result
Final: Notre Dame 58, Stanford 7
Closest: SP+ (Notre Dame by 39, missed by 12.0). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Notre Dame by 37.9Strong
All three models favor Notre Dame (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot).
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Notre Dame by 39.0, Elo has Notre Dame by 36.9, and Our model has Notre Dame by 37.8. They are within 2.1 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Stanford -8.4 vs Notre Dame +28.1 · week 5 ratings | Notre Dame by 39 ✓ | 12.0 |
| Elo Stanford 1194 vs Notre Dame 2054 | Notre Dame by 36.9 ✓ | 14.1 |
| Our model · experimental Stanford -6.0 vs Notre Dame +29.4 | Notre Dame by 37.8 ✓ | 13.2 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Notre Dame by 37.9 ✓ | 13.1 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Notre Dame leads 25–14 · last: Notre Dame 49–20, 2025 · Notre Dame has won 3 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Notre Dame 49–20 | Stanford Stadium |
| 2024 | Notre Dame 49–7 | Notre Dame Stadium |
| 2023 | Notre Dame 56–23 | Stanford Stadium |
| 2022 | Stanford 16–14 | Notre Dame Stadium |
| 2021 | Notre Dame 45–14 | Stanford Stadium |