Result
Final: Oklahoma 27, Texas 24
Closest: Our model (Texas by 4.2, missed by 7.2). 0 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was wrong.
Our call: Texas by 7.3Strong
All three models favor Texas (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Texas by 6.0.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Texas by 9.6, Elo has Texas by 8.0, and Our model has Texas by 4.2. They are within 5.4 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Texas +22.4 vs Oklahoma +12.8 · week 5 ratings | Texas by 9.6 ✗ | 12.6 |
| Elo Texas 1930 vs Oklahoma 1731 | Texas by 8.0 ✗ | 11.0 |
| Our model · experimental Closest Texas +18.5 vs Oklahoma +14.3 | Texas by 4.2 ✗ | 7.2 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Texas by 6 | 9.0 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Texas by 7.3 ✗ | 10.3 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Texas leads 62–51–5 · last: Texas 23–6, 2025 · Texas has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas 23–6 | Dallas (neutral site) |
| 2024 | Texas 34–3 | Dallas (neutral site) |
| 2023 | Oklahoma 34–30 | Dallas (neutral site) |
| 2022 | Texas 49–0 | Dallas (neutral site) |
| 2021 | Oklahoma 55–48 | Dallas (neutral site) |