Result
Final: Wake Forest 38, NC State 14
Closest: Elo (Wake Forest by 3.6, missed by 20.4). 1 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Wake Forest by 0.1Toss-up
SP+ and Our model favor NC State; Elo favors Wake Forest (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot).
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has NC State by 2.2, Elo has Wake Forest by 3.6, and Our model has NC State by 1.1. The furthest apart are 5.8 points from each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Wake Forest +3.7 vs NC State +3.4 · week 5 ratings | NC State by 2.2 ✗ | 26.2 |
| Elo Closest Wake Forest 1669 vs NC State 1517 | Wake Forest by 3.6 ✓ | 20.4 |
| Our model · experimental Wake Forest +7.5 vs NC State +6.1 | NC State by 1.1 ✗ | 25.1 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Wake Forest by 0.1 ✓ | 23.9 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.