Result
Final: Iowa 41, Washington 24
Closest: Elo (Iowa by 1.0, missed by 16.0). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Iowa by 0.6Toss-up
All three models favor Iowa (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Washington by 1.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Iowa by 0.2, Elo has Iowa by 1.0, and Our model has Iowa by 0.7. They are within 0.8 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Iowa +14.8 vs Washington +12.1 · week 5 ratings | Iowa by 0.2 ✓ | 16.8 |
| Elo Closest Iowa 1821 vs Washington 1734 | Iowa by 1.0 ✓ | 16.0 |
| Our model · experimental Iowa +9.5 vs Washington +6.3 | Iowa by 0.7 ✓ | 16.3 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Washington by 1.5 | 18.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Iowa by 0.6 ✓ | 16.4 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Iowa leads 4–3 · last: Iowa 40–16, 2024 · Iowa has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa 40–16 | Kinnick Stadium |
| 1995 | Iowa 38–18 | neutral site |
| 1990 | Washington 46–34 | neutral site |
| 1981 | Washington 28–0 | neutral site |
| 1964 | Iowa 28–18 | — |